By Dr Stuart Jeanne Bramhall, OpEd News [Posted on Bear Market Issues]
This  is the first of two articles exploring the likelihood that capitalism is on the  verge of collapse and what a post-capitalistic world might look like.
Global  Capitalism: a House of Cards
As the global recession and debt crisis worsens,  even mainstream analysts are starting to speculate that global capitalism is on  the verge of collapse. At the moment, most attention is focused on European  "debt contagion." European Union economists are terrified that the Greek  government will default on their debt. A Greek default makes it inevitable that  Spain and Italy will also default. The mechanism here relates to the totally  unregulated, speculative way in which "sovereign debt" (the money countries  borrow from private banks to finance government operations) is  financed.
Investment banks in France, Germany, London and New York have  already jacked up the interest rates they charge Italy and Spain -- high risk  investments always command higher interest rates. Higher debt repayments will  make Italian and Spanish default inevitable, which will increase interest rates  on Japanese, British and US debt -- as all three countries have very high debt  levels. Owing to the size of their economies, default in Japan or the US is very  likely to crash the global economy.
The Endgame
There are three schools of  thought as to how the capitalist endgame is likely to play out. The first  predicts a scenario in which the Asian tiger economies (China and India)  collapse when the US, Japan and UK do -- given that national economies are  hopelessly intertwined as a result of globalization. This school also predicts  that any serious global instability will pop the Chinese real estate (debt)  bubble. When this happens, the Chinese economy will crash, like the US economy  did when the subprime derivatives bubble burst in 2008. The creation of debt  bubbles (the bubbles leading to the 1987 market crash and 2001 dot com collapse  are examples), involves the creation of vast amounts of credit (i.e. wealth that  only exists on paper), which are all wiped out simultaneously when the bubble  bursts. This sudden loss of economic wealth inevitably bankrupts large numbers  of businesses and causes massive job loss.
The second school believes that  only the US, Europe and Japan will collapse, while the economies of China, India  and its Asian and non-Asian trading partners (for example, Australia and New  Zealand) will continue to prosper. In this scenario the coming debt crisis and  crash will merely accelerate the gradual role reversal of the past two decades  -- with China rising to the status of economic superpower and the US, Europe and  Japan becoming third world nations.
The third school supports the  scenario I believe Wall Street and the Pentagon have in mind, in which the US  and its NATO allies confront China militarily to prevent it from replacing the  US as the world superpower. Evidence that the Pentagon has already chosen this  tact is seen in the strategic alliances it has formed around Middle East and  North African oil resources. Many foreign analysts believe that the US wars in  the Middle East and Libya are really proxy wars with China over oil resources.  They worry that these proxy wars have the potential to degenerate into a full  scale war between the US and China -- which would surely destroy both  economies.
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Bottom-Up Government
Unlike the Bolshevik  Revolution, which had the immense resources of the Tsarist empire at its  disposal, most of the small, regional units that emerge following the collapse  of global capitalism will be forced to rebuild themselves from the ground-up.  They all have the potential to be built according to democratic and egalitarian  principles, though this is by no means guaranteed.
A study of early New  England efforts to govern via "town hall" direct democracy reveals that  self-governance is always more effective in small groups and communities. Early  colonists found that once authority shifted from the town to state and  eventually federal government, ordinary people lost the ability to have input  into decision making. They could only elect representatives, without any ability  to ensure the individuals they chose would actually represent their  interests.
Reclaiming the Commons
"The Commons" is a historical concept  present in all cultures that views certain property, material goods and  intangibles (such as the air people breathe and the public airwaves used to  transmit radio and TV) as belonging to the community as a whole to be managed in  a way benefiting the public interest, rather than that of a particular  individual group. The eighteenth century (British) Enclosure Act is considered  the watershed event enabling individual and corporate interests to take  precedence over the pubic good. Under the Enclosure Act, the landed gentry  banned peasant farmers from raising crops or grazing on the "village commons,"  which now became "enclosed" as the gentry's private property. Subsequent  enclosure laws enabled early capitalists to drive even more farmers off communal  land to build factories.