In a separate article, entitled ´Biased US-UE Games in Georgia and the Caucasus Expected to Trigger a Russian Climax´, I republished the Press Briefing given by Daniel Fried, Assistant Secretary for European and Eurasian Affairs, at U.S. Mission Geneva a few days ago. The EU/UN/OSCE-sponsored talks on Georgia is a diplomatic game serving for coverage; it does cover the Western inertia vis-à-vis Georgia, and even worse Russia.
It is part of common sense that the West abandoned Georgia to an unnecessary defeat which was the result of an attempt to defend what cannot be defended, namely the denial of the right of the Abkhazian and South Ossetian peoples to freedom and national independence.
The Americans had long heard from various Turkish diplomats, statesmen and academia that the Georgian insistence on ruling Abkhazia was historically nonsensical; the problem is that the Americans did not understand that the attempt was also politically counterfeit.
Like Kosova, Montenegro, Bosnia, Croatia, Macedonia and Slovenia, Abkhazia has had full right to secede from an administrative authority to which it was attached by biased, Communist authorities of bygone eras.
The reason of the American misperception of Caucasus and failure in Georgia are all due to the indexation of the US foreign policy to European interests; what the present pathetic US administration failed to understand is that the European interests are detrimental not only to the US but also to Europe itself. In brief, one should not take them into consideration under any circumstances whatsoever.
The problems of the Caucasus geopolitics and geostrategics have been aggravated by Europe´s erratic approach to Europe itself first, and then to Russia and the possible Russian – European relationship.
West´s Problem in Caucasus: the Euro-fallacy
The main problem of the European political decision-making is its greatly anti-democratic character; the main reason for which French politicians and statesmen want Turkey and Ukraine outside EU is precisely this, namely the continuation of the present character of the EU.
The fragile situation, in which the prevalence of the partial and colonial interests of the axis Paris – London has been possible, will be irreparably disturbed and counterbalanced due to the great weight that the two countries (Turkey 75 million people and Ukraine 46 million people) will de facto have within the EU Commission and the European Parliament.
The filthy colonial game of the evil and secretive Paris – London axis evolves around several basic tools:
1. the imposition on Germany of a totally un-German political establishment that perceives the political reality through an Anglo-French viewpoint. In fact, Germany does not exist politically as an autonomous entity in the same way Berlusconi´s Italy does; it has never existed since the WW II defeat. By this, I don´t imply that Nazism was an authentic German political ideology; it was not, and it was rejected by both, the German noblesse and the German Left. Authentic German political ideology can be found in the Weimar Republic, in the Imperial Germany (1870 – 1918), and the Prussian and Bavarian kingdoms. Nothing of all this has been left in today´s Germany.
2. the constant isolation and even under-estimation of Italy,
3. the formation of ideological alliances (socialist, conservative, liberal, etc.) with politicians and statesmen among the smaller states (this is a way of guidance and manipulation), and
4. the circumstantial satisfaction of various demands introduced by smaller states´ governments, according to an immoral and ruinous barter agreement of the style "you vote for this, and I will support you on that".
The game reached its limits with the entrance of Poland. Turkey and Ukraine will totally counterbalance the Paris – London axis, canceling the advantage of the politically inexistent Germany.
Even more inconsistent is the European position on Russia; in fact, the immoral, pseudo-democratic and utterly criminal European elites deliberately pushed Russia to oligarchy and totalitarianism, through a multifaceted method involving harassment, humiliation, derision, alienation, and animosity. The Anglo-French elites did their ingenious best to reintroduce terms existing before more than 100 years that described the tsarist monarchy and its backward character. However, post-communist 1990 Russia was definitely not what was portrayed by the Europeans and their fallacious mass media. The Yeltsin years condemned EU and Russia to rivalry, and it will be very difficult to prevent this development.
Quite pathetically, the European leaders pulled America and exported their unreal vision of Russia – a vision that damages the West before all the rest; if you are unable to face-off a resourceful rogue state – nuclear power, it´s better that you don´t push its leadership to reactionary and rogue behaviour. This basic wisdom was not well comprehended by today´s mean, sectarian and myopic elite of Europe that excels in Russo-phobia, Turco-phobia, and Islamo-phobia.
Caucasus
All this does not bode well with the needs of Caucasus geopolitics and geo-strategics. Caucasus has long been an area that belonged to the Islamic Caliphate. Long before the Islamic armies reached Gibraltar, Iran, Azerbaijan, Eastern Turkey (the easternmost confines of the Eastern Roman Empire), Armenia and Georgia had been invaded and annexed to Medina and then Damascus.
The Russian expansion in the Caucasus is a far later phenomenon which is largely due to the disastrous Ottoman – Safevid rivalry that replaced the old Roman – Persian confrontation on a Sunni – Shia theoretical canvas.
Caucasus would be a matter of further decomposition of Russia, if ethno-religious considerations were the only to be implicated; as it happens, Caucasus is a mixture of geopolitical interests hinging on energy exploitation and transportation and geostrategic agendas that involve Russia´s containment from the South (traditional colonial Anglo-French scheme) or Russia´s expansion to the Southern Seas (traditional Russian expansionism).
The outcome of the confrontation will be of colossal dimensions; the Russian push to the South can lead to the elimination of the pro-American puppets of the Middle East and to the destruction of Israel.
Similarly, the Energy Drang nach Osten will have even more cataclysmic effects:
1. the decrease of the European dependence on Russian Energy
2. the rise of a great, Muslim, preponderantly Turco-phone, secular state
3. the shrinking of Russia into its 17th century dimensions, and
4. the subsequent rise of the Turkish – Central Asiatic state, which bodes well with the geopolitical interests of China, India, America, and Europe.
A Great State of the South as Counterbalance to Russia
For the West to contain Russia, there is a basic problem: the effort will be successful only through the rise of a big state at the southern confines of Russia from Abkhazia to China.
This state has to be:
1. Muslim (in its majority)
2. Secular
3. Democratic
4. Liberal
5. Multi-cultural and
6. (principally) Turko-phone
For this to be done, the underway Anglo-Saxon plan of division of Turkey into two states, Turkey (60 million people) and Kurdistan (15 million people), with the parallel adhesion of the former in the EU and merge of the latter with territories sliced from Iraq, Iran and Syria, has to be canceled.
On the contrary, Turkey must be left to normally become the spinal cord of a vast state that will incorporate Iraq, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and progressively Afghanistan, Pakistan, Syria, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Yemen. The project may span over more than 10 years to be materialized, but it consists in the only way to
1. contain Russian expansionism
2. diminish European dependence on Russian energy
3. shrink Russia
4. cancel the pending threat of a nuclear Iran
5. eliminate the expansion of Islamic conservatism and backward theology
6. pacify Israel and Palestine, and
7. modernize a vast part of Asia by fully integrating it into the global system - to the benefit of the inhabitants, and to the detrimental loss of Russia.
Myopia and Panic in the Caucasus August 2008 Crisis
The way to set up the geopolitical project of Turkey – Central Asia is to start by offering to Georgia the only defense that can truly function efficiently.
It was utterly ludicrous for the German Chancellor Angela Merkel, a comical puppet of the Anglo-French axis, to suddenly support Georgia´s adhesion to the NATO - just a few months after the chance for this development was denied to Georgia, Ukraine and (for other reasons) Macedonia.
Turkish extremist Islamist premier Erdogan´s suggestion for an international body including Turkey, Russia, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Armenia would be as ineffective as theatrical.
If this happened, it would be inconsequential, and would even drive NATO to an impossible position; given the rogue behaviour of the Russian oligarchy, one should rather expect a further advance of the Russian army for another let´s say 4 km within Georgian territory, a development to which the entire NATO would prove unable to respond. The credibility of NATO would thus fall to its lowest possible.
Furthermore, viewing the case ´Georgia´ independently is a geopolitical error of colossal dimensions. Georgia is interlinked with Azerbaijan at all levels. With Georgia disconnected from Azerbaijan, the West offers Russia, its supposedly merciless rival, a bonus of trillions of dollars in energy.
In fact, Russian pressure over Azerbaijan has been ceaselessly exercised in order to minimize Azerbaijan´s colossal geopolitical value, and reduce it to a mere annex of Russia (Soviet comeback).
Turkey – Georgia – Azerbaijan Confederation
The only way to effectively defend Georgia, and preserve its interconnection with Azerbaijan is an immediate merge of the three states, Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan, into a Confederation under one Constitution providing for
three official languages, Turkish, Azeri and Georgian,
common defense and foreign policy,
three different legislations,
three federal and one con-federal parliaments, and
economic convergence.
The immediate proclamation of the confederate state would automatically expand NATO to the Caspian shore; with the South Ossetian and Abkhazian territories left to their indigenous populations, Georgia – and Azerbaijan – would be automatically protected by Turkish army and NATO nuclear arms.
This would trigger the fast exploitation of the vast Oil reserves of Azerbaijan, and the subsequent erection of at least two more pipelines through the Georgian - Turkish territory to Europe.
With the decrease of the Russian threat, which is still looming over Georgia, the Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan Confederation would be engaged in two projects, the first in Dagestan (to free the tyrannized Muslims from Russia) and the second in Iran (to liberate the oppressed Azeris, Turks and Turkmens).
With the liberation of the Iranian provinces of East and West Azerbaijan, most of the Caucasus region would be placed under the NATO control, and the Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan Confederation would be very close to a further merge with Turkmenistan.
Orientalist, Historian, Political Scientist, Dr. Megalommatis, 51, is the author of 12 books, dozens of scholarly articles, hundreds of encyclopedia entries, and thousands of articles. He speaks, reads and writes more than 15, modern and ancient, languages. He refuted Greek nationalism, supported Martin Bernal´s Black Athena, and rejected the Greco-Romano-centric version of History. He pleaded for the European History by J. B. Duroselle, and defended the rights of the Turkish, Pomak, Macedonian, Vlachian, Arvanitic, Latin Catholic, and Jewish minorities of Greece. Born Christian Orthodox, he adhered to Islam when 36, devoted to ideas of Muhyieldin Ibn al Arabi.
Greek citizen of Turkish origin, Prof. Megalommatis studied and/or worked in Turkey, Greece, France, England, Belgium, Germany, Syria, Israel, Iraq, Iran, Egypt and Russia, and carried out research trips throughout the Middle East, Northeastern Africa and Central Asia. His career extended from Research & Education, Journalism, Publications, Photography, and Translation to Website Development, Human Rights Advocacy, Marketing, Sales & Brokerage. He traveled in more than 80 countries in 5 continents. He defends the Right of Aramaeans, Oromos, Ogadenis, Sidamas, Berbers, Afars, Anuak, Darfuris, Bejas, Balochs and Tibetans to National Independence, demands international recognition for Kosovo, Abkhazia, South Ossetia, the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, and Transnistria, calls for National Unity in Somalia, and denounces Islamic Terrorism.
~ American Chronicle ~